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Max Verstappen solidifies Red Bull future amid Belgian Grand Prix performance

Lewis Hamilton, 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix. Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1/Mercedes-AMG

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Lewis Hamilton, 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix. Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1/Mercedes-AMG

Max Verstappen Confirms Future With Red Bull Amidst Contract Speculations

Max Verstappen has settled ongoing speculation regarding his Formula 1 future by ensuring his place at Red Bull Racing heading into 2026, after cementing his lead at the Belgian Grand Prix. A potential exit clause in his contract, which had loomed over recent months, is no longer in play after his performance at Spa-Francorchamps gave him an unassailable edge over the fourth position in the drivers’ standings.

Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff had previously expressed interest in signing the reigning four-time world champion, fueling rumors of a possible move. However, with Verstappen's contract running through 2028 and no mechanisms now allowing for an early departure under current standings, the Dutch driver appears set to continue his storied partnership with the Milton Keynes-based team.

Contract Clause Rendered Moot

Sources close to the situation had confirmed that Verstappen's Red Bull contract contained a provision allowing him to leave the team if he were fourth in the drivers’ standings following the Hungarian Grand Prix. Instead, Verstappen’s remarkable consistency culminated in yet another dominant weekend in Belgium, rendering the option moot.

The Dutchman’s win in Saturday’s sprint race boosted his lead by 26 points, with an additional two points added during Sunday’s Grand Prix. For context, a single race weekend allows a maximum of 25 points for victory, meaning Verstappen has now moved decisively out of reach of fourth-placed Mercedes driver George Russell.

The influential Dutch newspaper De Telegraaf made the situation explicit in its Sunday coverage: “Whoever still doubted it—Max Verstappen will drive for Red Bull Racing in 2026.”

The publication also highlighted the dead-end Mercedes and Wolff now face in their pursuit of Verstappen, observing that the Silver Arrows will likely have to explore other options for next season and beyond.

Impact on the Driver Market

The resolution of Verstappen’s contract situation will undoubtedly send ripples across the driver market. George Russell, whose own future with Mercedes remains unresolved, appeared to be the most vulnerable in the event of Verstappen exploring alternatives. The Englishman, who has yet to sign a contract extension with Mercedes for 2024 and beyond, told reporters ahead of the weekend that he felt “at peace” despite the lack of a formal offer on the table. While Russell expects to remain with Mercedes, the lack of progress in negotiations has added an element of uncertainty.

Cadillac, set to debut in Formula 1 in 2026, has two open driver slots to fill, and Alpine is reportedly evaluating options to partner Pierre Gasly for next season. Verstappen’s decision to remain with Red Bull may now allow other teams and drivers to finalize their plans without the shadow of his potential move lingering over the market.

Looking Ahead to 2026 and Beyond

Looking ahead, Verstappen emphasized the importance of continuing to learn and adapt during the current season to set a strong foundation for 2026. Significant rule changes are expected that year, making it a pivotal season for all teams.

“I think it’s still important also this year to learn certain things because they will also have an effect on next year,” Verstappen said following Sunday's race. “The cars will be completely different, but there are still things that we can work on and take also to next year... We can still learn a lot also this year.”

Red Bull’s Challenge With In-House Power Units

Red Bull, under the leadership of Laurent Mekies, faces a momentous task with its transition to in-house power unit production. The team’s current partnership with Honda will conclude, requiring Red Bull to build and supply its own engines at its Milton Keynes headquarters for 2026 and beyond.

While Verstappen is secure at Red Bull through 2026, reports from De Telegraaf and Auto Motor und Sport (AMuS) suggest there are performance-related clauses in his post-2026 deal. Should Red Bull fail to remain competitive under the new regulations, Verstappen would retain the option to assess his place on the grid for 2027 and beyond.

Future Contenders and Challenges

With a historic rule change looming, unpredictability remains high. Mercedes, reportedly optimistic about its 2026 engine project, is one of the teams betting big on adapting to the new regulations. Still, Wolff’s team is far from guaranteed success—this season, customer team McLaren is consistently outperforming them. Meanwhile, Aston Martin is making bold investments ahead of its takeover of Honda’s engine program, and Ferrari is trying to position itself as a title contender by 2026, according to comments from Lewis Hamilton.

For Verstappen and Red Bull, the priority remains clear: continue the dominance that has defined their partnership thus far while preparing for the challenges ahead. For Formula 1, Verstappen’s commitment to Red Bull removes one of the biggest "what-ifs" from the driver market, at least for now.

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