Unexpected F1 predictions for 2025: Verstappen leaving Red Bull and Lawson winning a race

Dominika Jordan
Feb 11, 2025, 8:48 AM ET

Will Verstappen move on? Unexpected F1 predictions for 2025

The Formula 1 offseason: What better time for speculation about what's to come? The world of Formula 1 is always evolving, filled with unpredictability and surprising twists. As we look towards 2025, several unexpected developments could shake up the sport even further. Here are some bold predictions that could leave fans astonished.

Verstappen to leave Red Bull

Max Verstappen has been dominant in recent seasons, securing multiple World Championships and reestablishing Red Bull Racing as a powerhouse in the sport. However, the world of F1 is ever-changing, and speculation is rife about Verstappen’s next move. Could the Dutch sensation be considering a shock exit from Red Bull?

With new rule changes on the horizon and Red Bull showing signs of creaking in 2024, this seems like a crucial 12 months in Max Verstappen's career trajectory. Whether the move happens for 2026 or 2027, this could be the year that the four-time world champion decides his best chance of winning under the new regulations will be elsewhere.

Max Verstappen ‘excited' to see Red Bull's competitiveness in 2025

Possible destinations

Mercedes-AMG Petronas: Mercedes boasts a history of success and the resources to provide Verstappen with a competitive car year after year.

Aston Martin: Backed by significant investment and resources, Aston Martin has been making waves. A high-profile driver like Verstappen could be the missing piece they need to challenge the top teams regularly.

Longtime admirer Toto Wolff, the Mercedes boss, has made no secret of his desire to sign Verstappen. Aston Martin owner Lawrence Stroll is also reportedly eyeing a move for the Dutchman. Last month, the Daily Mail reported that Aston Martin owner Lawrence Stroll is considering a £1 billion bid for the Dutchman.

Although Verstappen has a contract until 2028, things can change very quickly in F1. If Red Bull's 2024 wobbles spill over into 2025, other teams will smell blood in the water. If the likes of Mercedes and Aston Martin start to sound like better long-term propositions, Verstappen might see a perfect moment for a change of scenery.

Alonso to return Aston Martin to the podium

Fernando Alonso, the two-time World Champion, could stage a remarkable return to the podium. The 2024 season was challenging for Aston Martin, especially after the highs of Alonso's brilliant run of podiums in 2023. However, with a new factory and leadership team, Alonso might bring Aston Martin back to the front.

Alonso's experience and determination are well documented. Additionally, Aston Martin has made significant organizational changes, including bringing on ex-Mercedes engine chief Andy Cowell and former Ferrari man Enrico Cardile. With the new factory yielding gains, Alonso could capitalize on opportunities if the team can take a step forward.

Leclerc to win before Hamilton

One intriguing and unexpected prediction for 2025 is that Charles Leclerc will secure a race victory before Lewis Hamilton. Ferrari's pairing of Hamilton and Leclerc has been the talk of the 2025 season. Hamilton’s move to Ferrari gives him an adjustment period while Leclerc has been consistently strong.

Leclerc has shown impressive form, winning multiple races and demonstrating consistency. Ferrari’s improvements to their car and Leclerc’s developing maturity as a driver make him a formidable competitor. Hamilton, although one of the greatest, might need time to adapt to Ferrari’s setup.

McLaren wins a Grand Prix

Once a dominant force in the sport, McLaren has been in a rebuilding phase over the past few years. With a renewed focus on aerodynamic efficiency, power unit reliability, and driver development, the Woking-based team has been steadily climbing back up the grid. In 2024, Lando Norris showcased the team's progress by fiercely competing with Max Verstappen for the first place in several races, signaling McLaren’s resurgence.

With the right developments and strategic decisions, 2025 could see McLaren not only challenging for wins but also potentially contending for the championship. Their rich history and commitment to excellence make a Grand Prix victory a plausible and exciting possibility for the team and its fans.

Rookie wins an F1 race in 2025

Rookies often take time to acclimate to the intricacies of F1, but 2025 might see exceptional talents breaking this mold. Liam Lawson and Andrea Kimi Antonelli are the prime candidates.

Liam Lawson to win an F1 race in 2025

Lawson has already shown potential in his limited appearances and could secure a win if Red Bull’s car remains competitive.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli’s potential to win an F1 race in 2025

Antonelli, replacing Hamilton at Mercedes, arrives with significant hype. If Mercedes provides a competitive car, the Italian wunderkind could deliver astonishing results.

Oscar Piastri takes an early lead in the championship

Oscar Piastri’s rise has been phenomenal, and 2025 might see him leading the championship early. McLaren’s strong performance and Piastri’s consistency could set him up as a title contender.

Piastri’s performances have indicated his potential, and McLaren’s improvements suggest they could provide a car capable of challenging for the title. If Piastri can continue to perform, he could be in contention to win a Grand Prix.

Williams’ comeback

Williams has a rich history in Formula 1 but has struggled in recent years. Investment and some high-profile signings could see this legendary team climbing back up the grid. With ambitions to reach the midfield, Williams has signed the talented Carlos Sainz to bolster their lineup. Alongside him is Alexander Albon, a skilled driver looking to make his mark. Together, they aim to bring Williams back to its former glory.

As F1 prepares for another thrilling season, speculation and predictions add to the excitement. Whether it’s the possibility of Max Verstappen switching teams, rising stars like Oscar Piastri breaking through, historic teams like McLaren winning a Grand Prix, or Williams climbing back to the top, 2025 promises to be a year of unexpected twists and high drama. Whatever happens, fans worldwide are in for a treat.

The F1 season of 2025 is going to be as unpredictable and thrilling as it has ever been.